Pollsters do not talk to every single person in the country, so the results have some amount of error. The margin of error is a reminder that each finding is not exactly precise. It also is a guide for understanding how big the range of responses could be.

The latest news and live updates on the 2024 election. Follow the Trump-Vance and Harris-Walz campaigns as Kamala Harris does several high-profile interviews in New York and Trump joins a health care town hall.

The phrase “October surprise” was popularised during the 1980 presidential election, when Democrats hoped that the release of Iranian hostages, taken during the revolution, would save President Jimmy Carter from losing re-election. That surprise never materialised and few have since.

Vice President Harris took a small lead over former President Trump in a new national poll released on Tuesday as voters increasingly see her as the candidate of change.

CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten breaks down recent polling in battleground states.

In California, almost one-third of ballots were uncounted after election night. The state was making almost daily updates to its count through Dec. 3, a full month after Election Day. This wasn’t unusual or unexpected.

Republicans have enlisted legions of poll watchers in Texas and across the country ahead of the Nov. 5 election, a move they say will safeguard against potential election fraud. The situation reflects a national debate in which Republicans warn about the need to combat election fraud,

Slightly more Americans see Vice President Kamala Harris as representing change compared to former President Donald Trump, according to new polling. In the latest New York Times/Siena poll, 46% of respondents said Harris embodies change more, while 44% said the same of Trump.

Poll indicates increased support from Republicans is helping fuel Vice President Kamala Harris with 4 weeks to go until Election Day in her White House showdown with former President Trump

AP VoteCast captures the views of voters — whether they vote in person on Election Day or weeks ahead of time — by beginning to interview registered voters several days before Election Day. Those interviews conclude as polls close in each state. Interviews are offered in English and Spanish, as needed.